🧭 The Events of the Iran-Israel War on June 29, 2025

 🧭 The Events of the Iran-Israel War on June 29, 2025

Although there is now a tenuous truce in place, the effects of this fierce 12-day conflict are still being felt in both countries—and throughout the world. What you should know is as follows:

1. Public Reaction & Nationwide Mourning in Iran
Thousands of people lined Azadi Street in Tehran for mass burials honoring nuclear experts and top IRGC officials killed in the Israeli bombings on June 13—including Gen. Amir Ali Hajizadeh and Gen. Hossein Salami. According to State TV, some 60 people, including several women and children, were in mourning.
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Paradox of unity: These bombings have unexpectedly reignited Iranian nationalism in spite of long-standing disputes over civil liberties, economic hardship, and government brutality. According to ft.com, even Iranian detractors united as a one country.

Fear gripped the populace: Over 100,000 residents left Tehran toward the north as bombs landed, fearing for their lives en.wikipedia.org.

2. Iran's Increase in Surveillance and Domestic Crackdown
Tehran quickly regained control after the truce was announced; according to wsj.com, at least six killings and more over 1,000 arrests of suspected Mossad "spies" had been made.

Checkpoints, searches, monitoring blitzes, and an assertive morality police presence were all part of the city's resumption of intense policing (wsj.com).

Tech clampdown: In mid-June, an almost complete internet shutdown reduced connection by 97%. State media still warns against using encrypted applications, presumably due to spyware fears, even after partial restoration en.wikipedia.org.

3. Intelligence and Military Reckonings
Hybrid warfare in action: Israel's aerial assault was preceded by Mossad's clandestine drone operations, which included destroying Iranian air defenses and damaging missile launchers. By taking down hundreds of launch systems, these covert drone-borne operations are credited with restricting Iran's retaliation strikes en.wikipedia.org.

Air war milestones: Mission Rising Lion targeted more than 100 locations, including command centers in Tehran, Natanz, Shiraz, and Isfahan, as well as missile facilities and nuclear enrichment factories. According to reports, at least 30 IRGC officers and 11 scientists were murdered; in retaliation, more than 550 Iranian ballistic missiles were launched, killing 28 Israelis.
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Iran launched a Sejjil missile at Soroka Center in Beersheba on June 19, causing a mass evacuation due to concerns of a chemical release.
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4. Diplomacy and Ceasefire Rock the Region
After tense discussions, the ceasefire was gradually implemented on June 24. Just before the ceasefire went into effect, Iran allegedly unleashed a last missile bombardment (indiatoday.in +4 livemint.com +4).
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Worldwide reactions:

UN head Guterres signed the document with the words "Give peace a chance," warning against further escalation.
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IAEA chief Grossi said that a nuclear site assault might have disastrous consequences.
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While applauding the truce, US President Trump, who approved the attacks on Fordow, asserted that Iran's nuclear installations were "completely destroyed."
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European leaders, including Macron and Kallas, called for prudence and fresh diplomacy (livemint.com).

China threatened to shut down the Strait of Hormuz if Iran did so. en.wikipedia.org +1
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Emergency Security Council sessions were called by Russia, China, Gulf nations, and others (tvn-media.com).

 

nitarian Cost and Civilian Repercussions

Iranian losses: Nearly 5,000 people, including civilians, were wounded, and more than 600 people were killed. Hospitals in Tehran reported extensive trauma and damage to their infrastructure (wsj.com).

Israel's sad side: Iranian attacks, some of which targeted civilian areas in Tel Aviv, Haifa, the city of Beers and the area around Soroka, have resulted in at least 28 Israeli deaths, many injuries, and over 5,000 displaced people.

Economic shock: Uncertainty in the Middle East makes oil markets tense. Iran threatens to close the Strait of Hormuz, a vital international oil transport route. With a shock potential of over $100/barrel, prices rose by over 7–14% en.wikipedia.org

6. What's Next? Analysis and Prospects 🛑 Strategic Dissection
Israel's targeted attack eliminated Iranian missile capabilities and reduced collateral damage, but it also further intensified the fight.

By combining espionage, sabotage, and targeted attacks, Mossad's drone tactic ushers in a new era of hybrid warfare that transcends proxy wars and enters direct combat.

Despite being devastated, Iranian military remains resilient, with new leadership cadre and nuclear aspirations. Even in weaker airspace, Iran's armed opposition is still strong.

Domestic Consequences for Iran
When a national tragedy strikes, the public briefly unites around the flag, but this solidarity may disintegrate as the crisis subsides.

Pervasive repression indicates that theocratic control will continue, normalizing monitoring and paranoia.

Economic and humanitarian stress: northern regions and metropolitan areas are disproportionately affected by mass relocation, trauma, infrastructure destruction, and growing poverty.

🤝 The Diplomatic Front
Ceasefire over time: Although the truce may provide temporary calm, third-party involvement (Qatar, Egypt, UN) is necessary for its long-term viability.

Mutual mistrust is strong, so a diplomatic restart is unlikely until Iran's nuclear issues are resolved.

Energy chokepoint risks: A worldwide iatro-economic catastrophe might be triggered by any attempt to block the Hormuz Straits.

7. Important Dates and Advancements
Israel launched Operation Rising Lion on June 13; nuclear scientists and IRGC leaders were killed.

Iran replied on June 17–19, attacking Soroka Hospital with missiles.

97% of Iranian connection was lost due to an internet outage that occurred from June 17–18.

Iran attacked Al Udeid Air Station and Evin Prison, while the United States joined attacks on Fordow on June 22–23.

Phased ceasefire began on June 24; immediately before to pause, the last missile waves were fired.

Tehran funerals, a statewide crackdown, and popular support on June 28.

Iran is reeling from a crackdown as its authorities set the stage for the next round on June 29.

8. Why This Is Important to Your Readers: The tremendous price and ethical concerns of contemporary conflict are highlighted by the misery endured by civilians on both sides.

Global tremors: Peace in the Middle East is increasingly crucial for shipping lines, oil markets, and international diplomacy.

Military innovation: Mossad's use of drones suggests that future battles may take a different approach.

Domestic unrest: When nationalist fervor wanes, Iran's internal divisions might reappear.

Diplomatic challenge: Long-term peace requires difficult agreement between superpowers and regional actors, but there is a great deal of mistrust between them.

📝 Conclusions
Keep yourself updated: The daily control of airways and strategic targets can change quickly in this unusually dynamic conflict.

Keep an eye on the Strait: Any attempt to shut off Hormuz will have an impact on the world economy.

Human rights perspective: In addition to combat coverage, ongoing attention should be paid to Iran's censorship, execution, and arrest problems.

Promises of peace depend on global efforts, particularly if Iran's nuclear issue is brought up in official negotiations. Diplomacy is not dead.

A Thought to Consider
Will Iran's recently discovered unity survive or develop into enduring solidarity that compels internal change? Can international diplomacy use this opportunity to establish a lasting peace—before next spark ignites?